Confused-Iridescence
0xf662f11641e3dacca9544cb8c10f40b3daf79dfb
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$162.90
Total PnL
$-34.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?
72 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$72.18
$8.66
- NO
Will Jason Day win the 2026 PGA Championship?
53 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$53.48
$0.48
- YES
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?
24 shares @ 87.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.82
$2.95
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
16 shares @ 91.5¢·now 81.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$13.42
$-1.58
- YES
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
26 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?
16 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-12.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 1?
15 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-13.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jason Day win the 2026 PGA Championship?$53.01May 16, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$15.06May 16, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$15.02May 16, 13:12 UTC
- REDEEMGemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?$21.88May 16, 13:12 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?$31.87May 16, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$18.22May 6, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?$21.03May 6, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$21.08May 6, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?$13.92May 6, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?$22.22May 6, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$24.41May 6, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$21.97Apr 27, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?$13.00Apr 27, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?$21.00Apr 27, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?$28.00Apr 27, 01:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$18.41Apr 27, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?$17.82Apr 27, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$13.61Apr 27, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$14.13Apr 27, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?$63.52Apr 18, 10:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $149.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 11:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 13:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.