0xf72c80707c5abf677a1aec0d0c191d157eed102d
0xf72c80707c5abf677a1aec0d0c191d157eed102d
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$13.11
Total PnL
$2.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.77
$4.40
- NO
Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?
6 shares @ 26.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.34
$4.64
- YES
Will "Senate" be in the headlines this week?
9 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.45
- YES
Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?
9 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.38
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 37.5% by the end of May?
5 shares @ 43.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.19
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Bahrain" this week?$0.00May 31, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?$0.00May 31, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Senate" be in the headlines this week?$2.52May 30, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYPam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?$2.45May 29, 01:03 UTC
- REDEEMTrump re-sues WSJ by May 31?$0.00May 29, 01:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Dumbocrat" or "Dumocrat" or "Dumacrat" this week?$0.00May 29, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Uranium" this week?$1.75May 27, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Dumbocrat" or "Dumocrat" or "Dumacrat" this week?$2.30May 27, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?$2.48May 27, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating fall to 37.5% by the end of May?$2.24May 27, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Bahrain" this week?$2.46May 27, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump re-sues WSJ by May 31?$2.50May 27, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?$2.43May 27, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMDid a crypto hedge fund blow up?$4.35May 25, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$0.00May 25, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$5.00May 25, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$5.00May 25, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYDid a crypto hedge fund blow up?$2.08May 11, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$2.00May 5, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$2.25May 4, 08:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $2.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 20:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 05:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.