Alert-Something
0xfa3f9b9ab59fbaaabc73f7c95b5198289d4f6e13
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$459.16
Realised
$-6.72
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
1396 shares @ 56.2¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.2K
$465.23
- NO
Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
2 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$2.00
$0.58
- NO
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.84
$0.07
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?$1.00Jun 17, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Kings win the Pacific Division?$2.65Jun 17, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition$0.00Jun 17, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Damac Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?$0.00Jun 17, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in December?$0.00Jun 17, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)$0.00Jun 17, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?$185.00Jun 17, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 3 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?$0.00Jun 17, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$409.00Jun 17, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$0.00Jun 17, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins$347.50Jun 17, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?$0.00Jun 17, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$67.56Apr 27, 08:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$590.04Apr 27, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$607.92Apr 23, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?$298.32Apr 23, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?$262.16Apr 23, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?$330.48Apr 13, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?$533.52Apr 13, 10:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $304.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 04:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 16:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.