Appropriate-Block-Regret
0xfa524e50c897d27fe5d5cc43b7b0fb38a2d31dc9
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$456.45
Total PnL
$-3.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
103 shares @ 97.2¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 18, 2026$102.11
$2.11
- YES
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
145 shares @ 69.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$97.83
$-2.17
- YES
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
73 shares @ 68.8¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$58.11
$8.11
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?
80 shares @ 62.2¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$53.50
$3.50
- YES
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?
98 shares @ 50.9¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$49.56
$-0.44
- YES
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
70 shares @ 71.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$48.94
$-1.06
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
23 shares @ 87.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$19.89
$-0.11
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
28 shares @ 71.7¢·now 70.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$19.66
$-0.34
- YES
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?
19 shares @ 52.4¢·now 36.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.87
$-3.13
- NO
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?
60 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$20.00May 18, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$20.00May 18, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$100.00May 18, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$0.89May 15, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$50.47May 14, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Green Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$54.49May 11, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?$10.00May 11, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$10.28May 9, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Green Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$50.17May 8, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?$1.03May 8, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$99.99May 8, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?$98.67May 7, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$50.43May 7, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$50.74May 7, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?$50.57May 7, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$100.93May 7, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$100.57May 7, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?$100.00May 7, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Riasne by May 31?$103.28May 7, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Riasne by May 31?$100.00May 6, 07:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $152.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 21:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".