0xfac0cba410d5d2bda360b74b8cbf51241ff7fdd8
0xfac0cba410d5d2bda360b74b8cbf51241ff7fdd8
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
117
Open notional
$971.10
Total PnL
$19.97
Realised
$-22.43
Win rate
39%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 117- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
251 shares @ 37.4¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$181.75
$87.89
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
103 shares @ 62.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$84.64
$21.03
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
52 shares @ 71.4¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$44.59
$7.35
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
54 shares @ 79.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.12
$0.80
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
110 shares @ 35.8¢·now 33.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$36.69
$-2.71
- YES
Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.?
87 shares @ 25.9¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.72
$8.30
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
32 shares @ 77.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.37
$4.38
- YES
New pandemic in 2026?
234 shares @ 11.4¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.61
$-2.06
- YES
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
158 shares @ 12.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.49
$5.53
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
38 shares @ 37.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.26
$10.34
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$0.96Jun 13, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?$0.00Jun 13, 18:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?$0.97Jun 12, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?$10.75Jun 12, 18:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.?$0.75Jun 10, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$0.95Jun 10, 08:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 7, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$0.00Jun 6, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 6, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in May 2026 (ET)?$0.99Jun 6, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMEpstein suicide note released by May 31?$0.00Jun 6, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$1.02Jun 6, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?$0.00Jun 6, 06:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $12.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.