0xfc915907cf315161de19dbd0390787bdb84931eb
0xfc915907cf315161de19dbd0390787bdb84931eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$34.7K
Total PnL
$2.9K
Realised
$261.54
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
11667 shares @ 54.5¢·now 78.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.2K
$2.8K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
6954 shares @ 71.9¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.9K
$946.05
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
2664 shares @ 74.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$2.2K
$254.07
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
2442 shares @ 86.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.2K
$109.88
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
3509 shares @ 56.4¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$38.92
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
6469 shares @ 58.2¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.7K
$-2.1K
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
2018 shares @ 85.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.7K
$-20.18
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
2553 shares @ 47.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.5K
$268.08
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
1791 shares @ 66.2¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$274.15
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
3265 shares @ 35.6¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$1.4K
$225.52
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?$101.77Jun 13, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?$88.66Jun 13, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?$267.95Jun 13, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$505.45Jun 13, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$500.00Jun 12, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.2KJun 12, 23:45 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$2.5KJun 12, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$83.70Jun 12, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$339.32Jun 12, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$2.0KJun 12, 11:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.8KJun 11, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.5KJun 11, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$2.8KJun 11, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$4.4KJun 11, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$300.00Jun 9, 22:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $902.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 08:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.