Weary-Ape
0xfd4a2f85aa0aa73743b35cfad2aeb3c21885a3ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$100.15
Total PnL
$-5.13
Realised
$-8.95
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
21 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$21.00
$8.82
- YES
Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?
21 shares @ 10.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.33
$7.23
- NO
Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
4 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$4.00
$0.09
- NO
Will the Ottawa Senators win the Eastern Conference?
2 shares @ 94.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.00
$0.10
- NO
Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?
2 shares @ 93.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.00
$0.13
- NO
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Eastern Conference?
2 shares @ 89.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.00
$0.21
- NO
Will the Minnesota Wild win the Western Conference?
2 shares @ 91.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.00
$0.16
- NO
Will Tisza win 70–79 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
2 shares @ 93.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$2.00
$0.12
- NO
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$2.00
$0.18
- NO
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Western Conference?
2 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.00
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill The Weeknd be the top Spotify artist for 2026?$0.21Apr 24, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2026?$0.89Apr 23, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?$2.10Apr 20, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$1.89Apr 20, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Atlanta United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$0.21Apr 18, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.23Apr 16, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.05Apr 16, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$0.84Apr 16, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$0.11Apr 16, 04:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2026?$0.26Apr 16, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?$12.18Apr 15, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.99Apr 15, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?$3.80Apr 15, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$1.49Apr 15, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?$5.50Apr 15, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$24.31Apr 15, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$7.52Apr 15, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$8.40Apr 15, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?$36.45Apr 15, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.80Apr 15, 06:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $5.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 21:40 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 22:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.