Best-Vintner
0xfd7cf49478e77d8af6d935d09f673051965fcd5e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-119.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?
22000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Trump out as President by March 31?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$22.98Jun 1, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$12.23May 25, 03:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?$11.99May 25, 03:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 22, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?$12.00May 21, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$0.12May 21, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$8.31May 21, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$8.25May 21, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$9.00May 21, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$8.40May 21, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$9.23May 21, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?$8.75May 21, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$9.31May 21, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$9.46May 21, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$9.26May 21, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$9.61May 21, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$10.08May 21, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$10.18May 21, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$10.45May 21, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$10.34May 21, 20:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$6.8K
Trades
1
Buy share
0%
Window
May 18, 12:30 UTC → May 18, 12:22 UTC
- SELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$6.8K@100¢May 18, 12:22 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 1 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
$6.8K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $10.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 20:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 02:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.