Best-Vintner
0xfd7cf49478e77d8af6d935d09f673051965fcd5e
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
87
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-35.30
Realised
$-0.88
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1006 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.0K
$0.50
- JAN CHOINSKI
Zagreb: Jan Choinski vs Arthur Fery
24 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$24.43
$13.43
- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
24 shares @ 89.8¢·now 90.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$22.23
$0.23
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
24 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$22.12
$0.12
- NO
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?
22 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$22.08
$0.08
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
60 shares @ 36.4¢·now 36.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$21.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
18 shares @ 77.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$16.45
$2.45
- YES
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-17?
14 shares @ 77.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$13.64
$2.64
- NO
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-05-17?
13 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$12.94
$1.94
- YES
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
18 shares @ 61.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.35
$1.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$11.30May 17, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?$10.50May 17, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$11.04May 17, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeju SK FC win on 2026-05-17?$11.05May 17, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYZagreb: Jan Choinski vs Arthur Fery$11.18May 17, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Como 1907 win on 2026-05-17?$11.08May 17, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$11.21May 17, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$11.11May 17, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?$11.03May 17, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$11.20May 17, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?$11.10May 17, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$11.20May 17, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$11.00May 17, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$11.00May 17, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$11.00May 17, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$11.16May 17, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit China by May 31?$11.00May 17, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$11.00May 17, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$11.00May 17, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$11.00May 17, 08:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $30.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 08:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 10:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".