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5 things to verify

6 observations · 32 resolution risks

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MARKET PULSE
Centurion (Doubles): Winter/Zahraj vs Hurrion/HusseyLIVE
Selected: shared dashboard stateChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
50% 5.5pp
24h volume
$118
Orrery Pulse50% current46-56% 7D range+0.0pp net move
60%56%51%47%43%
50%
May 2650%+0.0pp from start
May 24May 24May 24May 25May 25May 25May 26May 26
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RESOLUTION RISK
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Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
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Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 26, 2026
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  • Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? probability down 9.0pp on $0.5M of 24h volume.
  • Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? shows a momentum pattern at 91% evidence — verify on the market.
  • Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? resolves in 3h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
  • —
RISK INCREASED (3)
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