Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full opportunities Resolves in 42h — verify the source
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MARKET PULSE
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?HIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest divergence signalChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
42% 9.5pp
24h volume
$149.4K
Orrery Pulse4% current3-7% 7D range-2.8pp net move
100%75%50%25%0%
4%
May 134%-2.8pp from start
May 13May 13May 13May 13May 13May 13May 13May 13
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch 32 active risks in one mode
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?UMA PENDING
High
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?UMA PENDING
High
High
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?UMA PENDING
High
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-13?UMA PENDING
High
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?UMA PENDING
High
High
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?UMA PENDING
High
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-13?UMA PENDING
High
High
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21?UMA PENDING
High
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
High
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-13?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)UMA PENDING
High
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-13?UMA PENDING
High
High
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5UMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full opportunities | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 68/86 98/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 79 | 64/88 98/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 77 | 83/78 60/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 75 | 76/82 60/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 71 | 52/87 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 13, 2026
Read full brief - Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? probability down 14.9pp on $0.2M of 24h volume.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? shows a momentum pattern at 83% evidence — verify on the market.
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 resolves in 1h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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