Event date has passed while the market is still active upstream
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Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue Verify source and settlement before reading price moves as info
UMA proposed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
Event date has passed while the market is still active upstream
Verify
Event date has passed while the market is still active upstream
Verify
Resolves in 16h — verify the source
Verify
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Iran closes its airspace by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 3 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue JaysPAST EVENT
—
Houston Astros vs. Texas RangersPAST EVENT
—
—
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL PlayoffsPAST EVENT
—
—
Knicks vs. CavaliersPAST EVENT
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Hurricanes vs. CanadiensPAST EVENT
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Spread: Knicks (-2.5)PAST EVENT
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Spread: Knicks (-3.5)PAST EVENT
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—
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 85/91 98/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 86 | 90/78 90/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 83 | 82/87 80/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 82 | 81/86 80/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 82 | 74/96 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 26, 2026
Read full brief - Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? probability down 12.0pp on $0.4M of 24h volume.
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? shows a momentum pattern at 90% evidence — verify on the market.
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? resolves in 16h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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