Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
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MARKET PULSE
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?HIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
60% 6.0pp
24h volume
$387.7K
Orrery Pulse12% current5-48% 7D range-35.5pp net move
100%75%50%25%0%
12%
May 1612%-35.5pp from start
May 13May 13May 14May 14May 15May 15May 16May 16
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
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LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
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Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 81/84 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 76 | 58/99 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 16, 2026
Read full brief - MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? probability up 6.0pp on $0.4M of 24h volume.
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? shows a momentum pattern at 81% evidence — verify on the market.
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-16? resolves in 2h — verify the source before treating as research.
IGNORE (0)
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