High
Orrery — the verification layer for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
2 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue 1Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Resolves in 21h — verify the source
Verify
2Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Divergence observation
Divergence
3Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Divergence observation
Divergence
4Knicks vs. Spurs
Resolves in 69h — verify the source
Verify
5Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Resolution-risk observation — settlement caveat
Verify
HIGH-EVIDENCE OBSERVATIONS
All signals 1Open
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Top read
24h Δ -13.5pp · 1h Δ 3.0pp
2Open
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
24h Δ 14.0pp · 1h Δ -1.0pp
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston AstrosUMA PENDING
High
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
High
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore OriolesUMA PENDING
High
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado RockiesUMA PENDING
High
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)UMA PENDING
High
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
World Championships: Switzerland vs. FinlandUMA PENDING
High
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansUMA PENDING
High
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay RaysUMA PENDING
High
High
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh PiratesUMA PENDING
High
Will United States win on 2026-05-31?UMA PENDING
High
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White SoxUMA PENDING
High
CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5UMA PENDING
High
High
High
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Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 71/82 60/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 68 | 50/81 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFJune 1, 2026
Read full brief - Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? probability up 14.0pp on $0.5M of 24h volume.
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? shows a divergence pattern at 71% evidence — verify on the market.
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? resolves in 21h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (2)
IGNORE (0)
- —
RISK INCREASED (2)
WATCHLIST DELTA
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