Iran closes its airspace by June 30?UMA DISPUTED
High
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5 things to verify
2 observations · 32 resolution risks
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TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue 1Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5
Resolves in 1h — verify the source
Verify
2US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Resolves in 26h — verify the source
Verify
3Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
UMA disputed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
4Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi
Momentum observation
Momentum
5Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Resolves in 26h — verify the source
Verify
MARKET PULSE
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo ArnaldiHIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
81% 29.0pp
24h volume
$6.0M
Orrery Pulse90% current53-98% 7D range+36.7pp net move
100%85%69%54%39%
90%
Jun 190%+36.7pp from start
Jun 1Jun 1Jun 1Jun 1Jun 1Jun 1Jun 1Jun 1
HIGH-EVIDENCE OBSERVATIONS
All signals 1Open
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo ArnaldiTop read
24h Δ 29.0pp, 1h Δ 4.0pp · Turnover 58.2× liquidity
2Open
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
24h Δ -4.0pp, 1h Δ -1.0pp · Turnover 4.9× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 3 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
High
Will Austria win on 2026-06-01?UMA PENDING
High
Will Norway win on 2026-06-01?UMA PENDING
High
Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5UMA PENDING
High
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-01?UMA PENDING
High
Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5UMA PENDING
High
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-01?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5UMA PENDING
High
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?UMA PENDING
High
High
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 95/84 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 81 | 74/95 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFJune 1, 2026
Read full brief - Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi probability up 29.0pp on $6.0M of 24h volume.
- Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5 resolves in 1h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (2)
IGNORE (0)
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