Resolves in 4h — verify the source
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Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue Verify the resolution source and event-cluster siblings
Resolves in 21h — verify the source
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Expired — settlement verification still pending upstream
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MARKET PULSE
St. Louis Cardinals vs. AthleticsHIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
33% 16.5pp
24h volume
$392.1K
Orrery Pulse0% current0-50% 7D range-49.1pp net move
100%75%50%25%0%
0%
May 140%-49.1pp from start
May 13May 13May 13May 14May 14May 14May 14May 14
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14?UMA PENDING
High
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh PiratesUMA PENDING
High
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati RedsUMA PENDING
High
High
High
Dota 2: PlayTime vs REKONIX - Game 1 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
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—
—
—
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?PINNED NO
Medium
Detroit Tigers vs. New York MetsPINNED NO
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 86/88 98/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 85 | 95/77 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 83 | 72/89 98/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 82 | 81/86 80/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 68 | 50/80 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 14, 2026
Read full brief - St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics probability down 16.5pp on $0.4M of 24h volume.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14? resolves in 0h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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