2026 Pro Football Draft: Number of TEs drafted O/U 10.5
Probability
97¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+14.5pp
24h Vol
$420.51
Liquidity
$418.73
Probability (last 7 days)
+45.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 14pp over 24h
Now 97¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 8h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 5.8¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 8h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 8 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 00:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 7.9h
- 16:04SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 8h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 16:04PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.5pp
to 97¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 47.0pp
to 97¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 40.5pp
to 91¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 43.0pp
to 93¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 43.0pp
to 93¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 36.0pp
to 86¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 36.0pp
to 86¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 36.0pp
to 86¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 36.0pp
to 86¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 36.0pp
to 86¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 36.0pp
to 86¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 36.0pp
to 86¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 36.0pp
to 86¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 36.0pp
to 86¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 36.0pp
to 86¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 39.0pp
to 86¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 39.0pp
to 86¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 35.5pp
to 83¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 59¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 59¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 59¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 59¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.0pp
to 75¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.5pp
to 75¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.0pp
to 76¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.0pp
to 75¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.0pp
to 75¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.0pp
to 75¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Over” if more than 10.5 players listed as a tight end per the official 2026 draft results posted by the NFL are drafted during all rounds of the 2026 NFL Draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”. In the event that a player is listed as more than one position, their drafting will be counted only as the first position listed according to the NFL Draft Board. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled, not completed, or it cannot be determined how many tight ends have been drafted by May 9, 2026, this market will resolve to the "Under". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (5.8¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).