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OtherExpires Apr 26, 2026

2026 Pro Football Draft: Number of TEs drafted O/U 10.5

Probability

97¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+14.5pp

24h Vol

$420.51

Liquidity

$418.73

Probability (last 7 days)

+45.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:04
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Up 14pp over 24h

    Now 97¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 8h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 5.8¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 8h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 8 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 00:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 7.9h

    HIGH
  • 16:04Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 8h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM
  • 16:04Price

    Probability up 26.5pp

    to 97¢

    MEDIUM
  • 15:00Price

    Probability up 47.0pp

    to 97¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 40.5pp

    to 91¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 43.0pp

    to 93¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 43.0pp

    to 93¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 36.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 36.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 36.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 36.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 36.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 36.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 36.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability up 36.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 36.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 36.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 39.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 39.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 35.5pp

    to 83¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.0pp

    to 59¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.0pp

    to 59¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.0pp

    to 59¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.0pp

    to 59¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 28.0pp

    to 75¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 25.5pp

    to 75¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 26.0pp

    to 76¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 25.0pp

    to 75¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 25.0pp

    to 75¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 25.0pp

    to 75¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Over” if more than 10.5 players listed as a tight end per the official 2026 draft results posted by the NFL are drafted during all rounds of the 2026 NFL Draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”. In the event that a player is listed as more than one position, their drafting will be counted only as the first position listed according to the NFL Draft Board. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled, not completed, or it cannot be determined how many tight ends have been drafted by May 9, 2026, this market will resolve to the "Under". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (5.8¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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