Spread: CA Sarmiento (-1.5)

• 1

  Up 40pp over 24h

  Now 48¢; +26.5pp in the last hour.

• 2

  Resolution-risk signal firing

  Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

• 3

  Wide spread — 93.0¢

  Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

• 4

  Past expiry — awaiting resolution

  Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

• 5

  UMA status: proposed

  An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game, scheduled for April 25 at 6:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Sarmiento" if CA Sarmiento win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "CA Tigre". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on afa.com.ar. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.