Set 1 Winner: Holmgren vs Kwon
Probability
37¢
1h
-1.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 178h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 9.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 178.2h
- 17:45SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 178h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-13.5pp over the last 24h, now 37¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between August Holmgren and Soon-Woo Kwon in the Gwangju, originally scheduled for April 26, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Holmgren” if August Holmgren wins the first set. It will resolve to “Kwon” if Soon-Woo Kwon wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- that completed setAmbiguous wordingatptour.com
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (9.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.