Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Probability
20¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+1.0pp
24h Vol
$327.77
Liquidity
$12.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
+2.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 14788.0h
- 00:59SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 14788h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
11- 84¢+3.0pp
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $3.0K
- 44¢0.0pp
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $103.25
- 37¢+4.0pp
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $744.91
- 33¢+4.0pp
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $2.0K
- 19¢+1.5pp
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $8.05
- 70¢+44.0pp
Lakers vs. Rockets
Other · Vol $5.0M
- 74¢+1.0pp
Celtics vs. 76ers
Other · Vol $4.9M
- 61¢+6.0pp
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers
Other · Vol $3.3M
- 0¢-52.4pp
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?
Other · Vol $2.9M
- 12¢-41.0pp
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
Other · Vol $2.6M
- 2¢-1.1pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.1M
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Base's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Base doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2028
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
20 wallets- Motherly-Grief2.5K
- Faint-Controller2.3K
- Skinny-Hometown2.0K
- Helpless-Sandwich1.0K
- Unaware-Ounce983