Merkezefendi vs. Mersin BSB
Probability
55¢
1h
-2.0pp
24h
-4.0pp
24h Vol
$778.68
Liquidity
$3.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Down 4pp over 24h
Now 55¢; -2.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $3.6k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 178.2h
Price movement
-1.5pp over the last 24h, now 55¢.
Biggest hourly move: +17.5pp at 2d ago (to 70¢).
Show top 8 of 24 hourly moves
- 1d ago · +15.0pp → 68¢
- 1d ago · +16.5pp → 70¢
- 1d ago · +16.5pp → 70¢
- 1d ago · +6.0pp → 60¢
- 1d ago · +6.5pp → 59¢
- 1d ago · +13.0pp → 66¢
- 1d ago · +14.0pp → 67¢
- 2d ago · +17.5pp → 70¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming Turkey BSL game, scheduled for April 27 at 12:00PM ET: If the Merkezefendi win, the market will resolve to "Merkezefendi". If the Mersin BSB win, the market will resolve to "Mersin BSB". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
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