Fabio Silva: Anytime Goalscorer
Probability
37¢
1h
+10.5pp
24h
+18.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$85.96
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 18pp over 24h
Now 37¢; +10.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 20h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 66.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 20h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 20 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 15:30ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 19.8h
- 19:40SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 20h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+11.0pp over the last 24h, now 30¢.
Biggest hourly move: -32.5pp at 14:00 (to 19¢).
Show all 27 hour-by-hour ticks
- 19:40 · +4.0pp → 30¢
- 17:00 · -7.0pp → 19¢
- 15:00 · -32.5pp → 19¢
- 14:00 · -32.5pp → 19¢
- 12:00 · -32.0pp → 19¢
- 11:00 · -32.0pp → 19¢
- 09:00 · -32.0pp → 19¢
- 08:00 · -32.0pp → 19¢
- 06:00 · -32.0pp → 19¢
- 05:00 · -32.0pp → 19¢
- 03:00 · -32.0pp → 19¢
- 02:00 · -32.0pp → 19¢
- 00:00 · -32.0pp → 19¢
- 23:00 · -32.0pp → 19¢
- 21:00 · -32.0pp → 19¢
- 20:00 · -32.0pp → 19¢
- 1d ago · -32.0pp → 19¢
- 1d ago · -31.0pp → 20¢
- 1d ago · -31.0pp → 20¢
- 1d ago · -31.5pp → 20¢
- 1d ago · -30.5pp → 21¢
- 1d ago · -30.5pp → 21¢
- 1d ago · -26.0pp → 25¢
- 2d ago · -25.5pp → 26¢
- 2d ago · -25.0pp → 26¢
- 2d ago · -23.5pp → 26¢
- 2d ago · -24.0pp → 26¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between BV Borussia 09 Dortmund and SC Freiburg, scheduled for April 26, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fabio Silva is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- official statisticsOfficial statisticsbundesliga.com
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (66.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.