Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer
Probability
99¢
1h
+49.5pp
24h
+79.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$523.47
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 79pp over 24h
Now 99¢; +49.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $523 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 15:23SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.5pp
to 51¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.5pp
to 50¢
- 13:30ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 2h ago
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -30.5pp
to 20¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -30.0pp
to 20¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -30.0pp
to 20¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -30.0pp
to 20¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.5pp
to 21¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.5pp
to 21¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -30.0pp
to 20¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.5pp
to 21¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.0pp
to 21¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.0pp
to 21¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.0pp
to 21¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.0pp
to 21¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -27.5pp
to 21¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -28.5pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.0pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -30.0pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.0pp
to 21¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München, scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Olise is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.