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OtherExpires Apr 25, 2026

Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer

Probability

99¢

1h

+49.5pp

24h

+79.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$523.47

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 21, 2026, 09:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:23
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Up 79pp over 24h

    Now 99¢; +49.5pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $523 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  4. 4

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 15:23Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW
  • 15:00Price

    Probability up 29.5pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 28.5pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:30Resolve

    Market resolved 2h ago

    HIGH
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -30.5pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability down -30.0pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -30.0pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -30.0pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -29.5pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -29.5pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -30.0pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -29.5pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -29.0pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -29.0pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -29.0pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -29.0pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -27.5pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -28.5pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -29.0pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -30.0pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -29.0pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München, scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Olise is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaNews consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.