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GeopoliticsExpires Apr 25, 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Probability

100¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+31.9pp

24h Vol

$134.81

Liquidity

$1.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 21, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:59
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  1. 1

    Up 32pp over 24h

    Now 100¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $1.5k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  4. 4

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

  5. 5

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 16:59Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    MEDIUM
  • 16:59Price

    Probability up 33.0pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 15:00Price

    Probability up 32.4pp

    to 99¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -16.5pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:30Resolve

    Market resolved 3h ago

    HIGH
  • 10:00Price

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 07:00Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 63¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -10.5pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 71¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 63¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -16.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -17.0pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -16.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Bundesliga game between VfL Wolfsburg and Borussia Mönchengladbach, scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if there are 9 or more total corners awarded in this game (combining corners for both teams). If the total number of corners is fewer than 9, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to corners awarded within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Corners awarded during extra time or penalty shootouts do not count. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
official statisticsOfficial statistics
bundesliga.com
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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