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OtherExpires Apr 25, 2026

Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)

Probability

100¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+68.0pp

24h Vol

$1.3K

Liquidity

$26.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

+62.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 16:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:23
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Up 68pp over 24h

    Now 100¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  3. 3

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

  4. 4

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 15:23Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    MEDIUM
  • 15:00Price

    Probability up 65.5pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability up 10.0pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Resolve

    Market resolved 3h ago

    HIGH
  • 10:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 32¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 32¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 32¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 32¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 32¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 32¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 32¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 32¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 35¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 35¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 35¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Chinese Super League game, scheduled for April 25 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Shanghai Haigang FC" if Shanghai Haigang FC win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Wuhan San Zhen FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on csl-china.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
https://www.csl-china.com/News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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