Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?
Probability
28¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+2.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$234.45
Probability (last 7 days)
+17.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 3pp over 24h
Now 28¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5984h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 49.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5984.1h
- 15:52SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5984h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.0pp
to 21¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 30¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.5pp
to 20¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 31¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 24¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.0pp
to 12¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 14¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 26¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.0pp
to 13¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 26¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 13¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 13¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 19¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 23¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.0pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 26¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 26¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 26¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 26¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 18¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 26¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 26¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 27¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Decriminalize Adult Commercial Sexual Activity bill (SB26-097) (https://leg.colorado.gov/bills/sb26-097) is passed by both chambers of the Colorado General Assembly and becomes law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source is official information from the government of Colorado; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (49.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).