Frigid-Surge
0xc0922d43e7d1e87a0a07130cde64cdb8981a5428
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$454.24
Total PnL
$145.74
Realised
$189.32
Win rate
59%
145 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?
22 shares @ 54.5¢·now 95.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.86
$8.98
- NO
MagicBlock FDV above $100M one day after launch?
22 shares @ 67.8¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$18.83
$4.08
- NO
Over 8 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?
15 shares @ 57.6¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.32
$2.74
- NO
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?
22 shares @ 40.3¢·now 48.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$10.51
$1.77
- NO
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?
9 shares @ 72.3¢·now 78.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.35
$0.57
- NO
Will the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein not be revealed in 2026?
23 shares @ 23.4¢·now 31.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.99
$1.72
- NO
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
18 shares @ 72.9¢·now 37.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.84
$-6.35
- NO
Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch?
7 shares @ 58.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.76
$2.81
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
19 shares @ 33.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.73
$0.47
- NO
Will Export-control chip security become law this year?
8 shares @ 71.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.59
$0.63
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Microsoft acquire TikTok?$0.12Jul 15, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nicholas Sciretta be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?$0.14Jul 15, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$0.14Jul 15, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.21Jul 15, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$0.21Jul 15, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill GenG qualify to MSI 2026?$0.42Jul 15, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$0.51Jul 15, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Extended launch a token by June 30 2026?$0.55Jul 15, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Discord’s market cap be between $20B and $25B at market close on IPO day?$0.76Jul 15, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?$1.15Jul 15, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Laura Gillen be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?$1.29Jul 15, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?$1.46Jul 15, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026?$1.53Jul 15, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of June 2026?$1.92Jul 15, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$2.06Jul 15, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Steven Tisch be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$2.13Jul 15, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Putin not meet?$2.14Jul 15, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMGrok 5 released by June 30, 2026?$2.35Jul 15, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?$2.37Jul 15, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$2.50Jul 15, 10:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
83/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
59% win rate over 145 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
145 closed markets, 59% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 10:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 10:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 145 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.