T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Rwanda vs Nepal - Toss Match Double Nepal Winner
Probability
51¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
+1.0pp
24h Vol
$266.93
Liquidity
$2.57
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 01Price move
Up 1pp over 24h
Now 51¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 169h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 99.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 04UMA status
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 169.2h
- 12:45SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 169h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.5pp over the last 24h, now 51¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
8- 87¢+33.0pp
Huzhou: Diletta Cherubini vs Ekaterina Reyngold
Other · Vol $601.2K
- 0¢0.0pp
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Other · Vol $250.0K
- 32¢+3.5pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $184.1K
- 49¢+48.9pp
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Other · Vol $121.9K
- 100¢0.0pp
Shymkent 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Sean Cuenin
Other · Vol $111.9K
- 62¢+3.0pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $107.2K
Market Description
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Rwanda and Nepal scheduled for 2026-04-28 in T20 Challenge Trophy, Women. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Rwanda will be considered correct if Rwanda is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Nepal will be considered correct if Nepal is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to Neither. DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to Neither. If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to Neither. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 5, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- UMA status: proposed
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (99.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.