OtherMulti-outcomeExpires May 4, 2026

T20 Series South Africa vs. India, Women: South Africa vs India - Toss Match Double South Africa Winner

Probability

62¢

1h

-2.0pp

24h

+2.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$33.67

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 19:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:29
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 2pp over 24h

    Now 62¢; -2.0pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 206h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 58.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 205.5h

    LOW
  • 18:29Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 206h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+2.0pp over the last 24h, now 62¢.

Biggest hourly move: +28.5pp at 1d ago (to 60¢).

Show all 29 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 18:29 · +7.5pp → 62¢
  • 17:00 · +8.5pp → 63¢
  • 15:00 · +12.0pp → 63¢
  • 14:00 · +6.5pp → 63¢
  • 12:00 · +10.0pp → 63¢
  • 11:00 · +6.5pp → 59¢
  • 09:00 · +10.5pp → 63¢
  • 08:00 · +10.0pp → 62¢
  • 06:00 · +11.0pp → 61¢
  • 05:00 · +10.0pp → 62¢
  • 03:00 · +8.0pp → 59¢
  • 02:00 · +7.0pp → 58¢
  • 00:00 · +5.0pp → 54¢
  • 23:00 · +10.0pp → 59¢
  • 21:00 · +15.0pp → 60¢
  • 20:00 · +23.5pp → 59¢
  • 1d ago · +28.0pp → 60¢
  • 1d ago · +28.5pp → 60¢
  • 1d ago · +27.0pp → 60¢
  • 1d ago · +24.5pp → 60¢
  • 1d ago · +20.5pp → 59¢
  • 1d ago · +16.0pp → 59¢
  • 1d ago · +13.5pp → 60¢
  • 1d ago · +12.0pp → 60¢
  • 2d ago · +12.0pp → 60¢
  • 2d ago · +9.0pp → 59¢
  • 2d ago · +11.0pp → 61¢
  • 2d ago · +7.0pp → 56¢
  • 2d ago · +5.5pp → 55¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between South Africa and India scheduled for 2026-04-27 in T20 Series South Africa vs. India, Women. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to South Africa will be considered correct if South Africa is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to India will be considered correct if India is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to Neither. DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to Neither. If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to Neither. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 4, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
espncricinfo.comOfficial sports resultextracted · high
espncricinfo.com
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (58.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

2 wallets