SportsExpires Apr 25, 2026

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-32.5pp

24h Vol

$156.53

Liquidity

$12.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 24, 2026, 21:00Apr 26, 2026, 00:36
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 1

    Down 33pp over 24h

    Now 1¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  • 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $12.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  • 4

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 00:36Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW
  • 23:00Resolve

    Market resolved 2h ago

    HIGH

Price movement

-32.5pp over the last 24h, now 1¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket round of 16 match between Team Nemesis and The Last Resort in the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 25 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if Team Nemesis and The Last Resort play 3 or more maps in this series. If fewer than 3 maps are played, this market will resolve to "Under". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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