Manchester City FC leading at halftime?

1. 1

   Down 42pp over 24h

   Now 20¢; +19.4pp in the last hour.

2. 2

   Light volume — move on a thin book

   Only $21.4k traded against $268.4k of visible liquidity (0.08× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

3. 3

   Divergence signal firing

   Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h +19.4pp vs. 24h -42.0pp.

4. 4

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

5. 5

   Wide spread — 38.8¢

   Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25, 2026 If Manchester City FC wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.