Cardiff City FC vs. Northampton Town FC: O/U 4.5
Probability
100¢
1h
+0.4pp
24h
+68.5pp
24h Vol
$104.37
Liquidity
$7.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
+71.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 1
Up 68pp over 24h
Now 100¢; +0.4pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $7.6k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
- 5
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 16:39SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 16:39PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 68.0pp
to 100¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 35.5pp
to 68¢
- 14:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 3h ago
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 28¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 28¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 29¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 29¢
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 29¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 32¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 32¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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14- 100¢+35.4pp
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Market Description
In the upcoming League One game between Cardiff City FC and Northampton Town FC, scheduled for April 25 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Cardiff City FC and Northampton Town FC combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on efl.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- official statisticsOfficial statisticsefl.com
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.