SportsExpires Apr 25, 2026

Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 12.5 Total Corners

Probability

1h

-53.0pp

24h

-37.0pp

24h Vol

$347.98

Liquidity

$798.96

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 21, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:39
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  1. 1

    Down 37pp over 24h

    Now 1¢; -53.0pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $799 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  4. 4

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

  5. 5

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 18:39Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    MEDIUM
  • 16:30Resolve

    Market resolved 2h ago

    HIGH

Price movement

-37.0pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

Biggest hourly move: +27.0pp at 17:00 (to 54¢).

Show all 18 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 18:39 · -26.1pp → 0¢
  • 17:00 · +27.0pp → 54¢
  • 12:00 · +11.0pp → 38¢
  • 11:00 · +11.0pp → 38¢
  • 09:00 · +11.0pp → 38¢
  • 08:00 · +11.5pp → 38¢
  • 06:00 · +10.5pp → 37¢
  • 05:00 · +11.0pp → 38¢
  • 03:00 · +11.0pp → 38¢
  • 02:00 · +10.5pp → 37¢
  • 00:00 · +11.0pp → 38¢
  • 22:00 · +10.5pp → 37¢
  • 21:00 · +10.5pp → 37¢
  • 20:00 · +11.0pp → 38¢
  • 1d ago · +11.0pp → 38¢
  • 1d ago · +11.0pp → 38¢
  • 1d ago · +11.0pp → 38¢
  • 1d ago · +10.5pp → 37¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Premier League game between Arsenal FC and Newcastle United FC, scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if there are 13 or more total corners awarded in this game (combining corners for both teams). If the total number of corners is fewer than 13, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to corners awarded within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Corners awarded during extra time or penalty shootouts do not count. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
official statisticsOfficial statistics
premierleague.com
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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