Newcastle United FC leading at halftime?
Probability
0¢
1h
-0.4pp
24h
-14.4pp
24h Vol
$1.6K
Liquidity
$40.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
-16.4pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 1
Down 14pp over 24h
Now 0¢; -0.4pp in the last hour.
- 2
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved down 14.4pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 3
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 4
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
- 5
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 18:22SignalHIGH
Momentum down
Probability moved down 14.4pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 18:22SignalHIGH
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 16:30ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 2h ago
Price movement
-14.4pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.
Biggest hourly move: -13.5pp at 18:22 (to 0¢).
Show all 4 hour-by-hour ticks
- 18:22 · -13.5pp → 0¢
- 17:00 · -8.0pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · -3.0pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · -3.0pp → 14¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25, 2026 If Newcastle United FC wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- official statisticsOfficial statisticsextracted · high
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- UMA status: proposed
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.