Federico Chiesa: Anytime Goalscorer
Probability
51¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+12.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.05
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 13pp over 24h
Now 51¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 3
Wide spread — 99.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 15:13SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.0pp
to 51¢
- 14:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 1h ago
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 23¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 25¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 40¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.0pp
to 25¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 39¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.5pp
to 25¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.0pp
to 25¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.5pp
to 26¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.5pp
to 26¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 38¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 38¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.5pp
to 25¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming Premier League game between Liverpool FC and Crystal Palace FC, scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Federico Chiesa is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.premierleague.com/News consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (99.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).