Amad Diallo: Anytime Goalscorer
Probability
16¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$289.91
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 16¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 53h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 23.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 53h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 53 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 52.7h
- 14:15SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 53h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -35.5pp
to 16¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -35.0pp
to 16¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -35.0pp
to 16¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -35.0pp
to 16¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -33.5pp
to 16¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -34.5pp
to 16¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -34.5pp
to 16¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -34.5pp
to 16¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -34.5pp
to 16¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -34.5pp
to 16¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -34.5pp
to 16¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -34.0pp
to 16¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -34.5pp
to 16¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 23¢-1.0pp
Benjamin Sesko: Anytime Goalscorer
Other · Vol $0.00
- 40¢-12.0pp
Bryan Mbeumo: Anytime Goalscorer
Other · Vol $0.00
- 13¢+0.5pp
Bruno Fernandes: Anytime Goalscorer
Other · Vol $0.00
- 39¢-12.0pp
Joshua Zirkzee: Anytime Goalscorer
Other · Vol $0.00
- 5¢-20.4pp
Shea Lacey: Anytime Goalscorer
Other · Vol $0.00
- 15¢-1.5pp
Casemiro: Anytime Goalscorer
Other · Vol $0.00
- 38¢-13.0pp
Mason Mount: Anytime Goalscorer
Other · Vol $0.00
- 15¢-1.5pp
Kevin Schade: Anytime Goalscorer
Other · Vol $0.00
- 62¢+2.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $3.2M
- 1¢-1.4pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.0M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.1M
- 59¢+1.0pp
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.0M
- 0¢-35.4pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Other · Vol $1.0M
- 0¢-39.5pp
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $863.4K
Market Description
In the upcoming Premier League game between Manchester United FC and Brentford FC, scheduled for April 27, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Amad Diallo is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 27, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.premierleague.com/News consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (23.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.