Folarin Balogun: Anytime Goalscorer
Probability
33¢
1h
+9.5pp
24h
+9.5pp
24h Vol
$38.76
Liquidity
$51.82
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 10pp over 24h
Now 33¢; +9.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 0h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 18.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 0h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 0 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 19:05ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 0.3h
- 18:45SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 0h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+9.0pp over the last 24h, now 33¢.
Biggest hourly move: -29.0pp at 21:00 (to 22¢).
Show all 22 hour-by-hour ticks
- 18:45 · +8.5pp → 33¢
- 00:00 · -27.5pp → 24¢
- 22:00 · -28.0pp → 23¢
- 21:00 · -29.0pp → 22¢
- 20:00 · -28.5pp → 23¢
- 1d ago · -28.0pp → 23¢
- 1d ago · -27.0pp → 24¢
- 1d ago · -27.5pp → 24¢
- 1d ago · -28.0pp → 23¢
- 1d ago · -27.0pp → 24¢
- 1d ago · -26.5pp → 25¢
- 1d ago · -26.5pp → 25¢
- 1d ago · -27.0pp → 24¢
- 1d ago · -26.5pp → 25¢
- 2d ago · -26.0pp → 25¢
- 2d ago · -25.0pp → 25¢
- 2d ago · -26.0pp → 25¢
- 2d ago · -26.5pp → 24¢
- 2d ago · -25.5pp → 25¢
- 2d ago · -26.5pp → 25¢
- 2d ago · -25.0pp → 25¢
- 2d ago · -25.0pp → 25¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming Ligue 1 game between Toulouse FC and AS Monaco FC, scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 3:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Folarin Balogun is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- official statisticsOfficial statisticsligue1.com
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (18.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.