OtherExpires Apr 25, 2026

Folarin Balogun: Anytime Goalscorer

Probability

33¢

1h

+9.5pp

24h

+9.5pp

24h Vol

$38.76

Liquidity

$51.82

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 20:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:45
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Up 10pp over 24h

    Now 33¢; +9.5pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 0h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 18.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 0h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 0 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 19:05Resolve

    Market resolves in 0.3h

    HIGH
  • 18:45Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 0h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

+9.0pp over the last 24h, now 33¢.

Biggest hourly move: -29.0pp at 21:00 (to 22¢).

Show all 22 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 18:45 · +8.5pp → 33¢
  • 00:00 · -27.5pp → 24¢
  • 22:00 · -28.0pp → 23¢
  • 21:00 · -29.0pp → 22¢
  • 20:00 · -28.5pp → 23¢
  • 1d ago · -28.0pp → 23¢
  • 1d ago · -27.0pp → 24¢
  • 1d ago · -27.5pp → 24¢
  • 1d ago · -28.0pp → 23¢
  • 1d ago · -27.0pp → 24¢
  • 1d ago · -26.5pp → 25¢
  • 1d ago · -26.5pp → 25¢
  • 1d ago · -27.0pp → 24¢
  • 1d ago · -26.5pp → 25¢
  • 2d ago · -26.0pp → 25¢
  • 2d ago · -25.0pp → 25¢
  • 2d ago · -26.0pp → 25¢
  • 2d ago · -26.5pp → 24¢
  • 2d ago · -25.5pp → 25¢
  • 2d ago · -26.5pp → 25¢
  • 2d ago · -25.0pp → 25¢
  • 2d ago · -25.0pp → 25¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Ligue 1 game between Toulouse FC and AS Monaco FC, scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 3:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Folarin Balogun is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
official statisticsOfficial statistics
ligue1.com
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (18.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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