Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 50-51°F on April 27?
Probability
0¢
1h
-0.1pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$208.31
Liquidity
$7.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 47.8h
- 12:10SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 48h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
11- 0¢0.0pp
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 49°F or below on April 27?
Weather · Vol $613.01
- 1¢0.0pp
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 52-53°F on April 27?
Weather · Vol $314.91
- 1¢0.0pp
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on April 27?
Weather · Vol $380.98
- 2¢0.0pp
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on April 27?
Weather · Vol $297.28
- 9¢0.0pp
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on April 27?
Weather · Vol $132.23
- 17¢0.0pp
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 27?
Weather · Vol $5.30
- 35¢0.0pp
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 27?
Weather · Vol $320.13
- 29¢0.0pp
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 27?
Weather · Vol $312.40
Market Description
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 27, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).