Honor of Kings: Alibaba PKQ vs LGD NBW - Game 3 Winner
Probability
51¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+14.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.06
Probability (last 7 days)
+4.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 14pp over 24h
Now 51¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 99.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 5h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 5 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 18:40ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 5.4h
- 13:15SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:15PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 30.5pp
to 51¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 30.5pp
to 51¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.5pp
to 49¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.5pp
to 49¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.5pp
to 49¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.5pp
to 45¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.5pp
to 45¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.5pp
to 45¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.5pp
to 45¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.5pp
to 45¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.5pp
to 45¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 45¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 45¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 37¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 37¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 42¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 42¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 42¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 42¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 42¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 40¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Honor of Kings Round 1 match between Alibaba PKQ and LGD NBW in the Honor of Kings Challenger Cup Stage 1, initially scheduled for April 25 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Alibaba PKQ" if Alibaba PKQ win Game 3 against LGD NBW. This market will resolve to "LGD NBW" if LGD NBW win Game 3 against Alibaba PKQ. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_PageNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (99.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.