UnclassifiedExpires Apr 29, 2026

Spread: V-Varen Nagasaki (-2.5)

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-0.1pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$1.1K

Probability (last 7 days)

-28.1pp 7d
Apr 21, 2026, 19:00Apr 28, 2026, 18:23
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 10h. Spread is extremely wide.

  • 02
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 8.5¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  • 03
    Resolution proximity

    Expiry in 10h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 10 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 04:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 9.6h

    HIGH
  • 18:24Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 10h. Spread is extremely wide.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-0.1pp over the last 24h, now 5¢.

Biggest hourly move: +39.0pp at 12:00 (to 50¢).

Show top 8 of 56 hourly moves
  • 12:00 · +39.0pp → 50¢
  • 1d ago · -29.0pp → 6¢
  • 1d ago · -29.0pp → 6¢
  • 2d ago · -28.5pp → 6¢
  • 2d ago · -29.5pp → 6¢
  • 2d ago · -29.0pp → 6¢
  • 2d ago · -29.5pp → 6¢
  • 2d ago · -29.5pp → 6¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming J1 100 Year Vision League game, scheduled for April 29 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "V-Varen Nagasaki" if V-Varen Nagasaki win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Shimizu S-Pulse". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on jleague.jp. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 29, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Type
Official statistics
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 29, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (8.5¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.