Will FC Ōsaka win on 2026-04-25?
Probability
25¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+24.1pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$239.96
Probability (last 7 days)
+3.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 11:54SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 11:54PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.1pp
to 25¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.1pp
to 25¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.4pp
to 25¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.4pp
to 25¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 35.0pp
to 50¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 35.0pp
to 50¢
- 05:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 7h ago
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.1pp
to 1¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.1pp
to 1¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.1pp
to 1¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.1pp
to 1¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 1¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 1¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 1¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.3pp
to 1¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.6pp
to 1¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.6pp
to 1¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.1pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.3pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.1pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.6pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 1¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25, 2026 If FC Ōsaka wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.jleague.jp/en/News consensus
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (49.9¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).