FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
Probability
100¢
1h
+67.0pp
24h
+55.5pp
24h Vol
$786.97
Liquidity
$4.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
+54.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 1
Up 56pp over 24h
Now 100¢; +67.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $4.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
- 5
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 15:38SignalHIGH
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 33¢
- 14:15ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 1h ago
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 43¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 43¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 44¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 44¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 43¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 44¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 44¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25, 2026 If FC Barcelona wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- UMA status: proposed
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).