Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)
Probability
24¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+2.5pp
24h Vol
$160.00
Liquidity
$201.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+5.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 3pp over 24h
Now 24¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 14h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Expiry in 14h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 14 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 16:30ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 13.9h
- 02:37SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 14h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+2.0pp over the last 24h, now 24¢.
Biggest hourly move: +5.5pp at 3d ago (to 21¢).
Show 6 hourly moves
- 01:00 · +3.0pp → 24¢
- 00:00 · +3.0pp → 24¢
- 23:00 · +3.0pp → 24¢
- 3d ago · +5.5pp → 21¢
- 3d ago · +5.0pp → 21¢
- 3d ago · +3.0pp → 21¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for April 26 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Osasuna" if CA Osasuna win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Sevilla FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on laliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.