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OtherExpires Apr 25, 2026

First Blood in Game 2?

Probability

49¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-1.5pp

24h Vol

$40.59

Liquidity

$0.38

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 05:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:05
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Down 2pp over 24h

    Now 49¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 2h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 98.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 2h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 2 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 15:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 1.9h

    HIGH
  • 13:06Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 2h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming match between DetonatioN FocusMe and GAM Esports in the LCP Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 25 at 5:00AM ET: This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 2. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to stoppage. If the first blood did not occur, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is remade, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to the remake. If the first blood did not occur prior to the remake, resolution will be based on the remade game. If Game 2 is completed but first blood never occurred, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://gol.gg/esports/homeNews consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (98.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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Top Holders

3 wallets