Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-11.5pp
24h Vol
$155.58
Liquidity
$411.97
Probability (last 7 days)
-50.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 1
Down 11pp over 24h
Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 2h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $412 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Expiry in 2h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
- 5
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 2 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 16:45ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 2.1h
- 14:38SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 2h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.4pp
to 0¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 30.0pp
to 51¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.0pp
to 50¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 12¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 12¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 12¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 12¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 12¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 14¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 12¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 12¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.5pp
to 12¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.0pp
to 12¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.5pp
to 12¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.5pp
to 12¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.5pp
to 12¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -39.0pp
to 12¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.5pp
to 12¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -39.0pp
to 12¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -39.5pp
to 12¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -40.0pp
to 12¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -39.0pp
to 13¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -30.5pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -31.0pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -30.5pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -30.5pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -31.5pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -31.5pp
to 21¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 100¢+16.4pp
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Other · Vol $259.8K
- 100¢+25.4pp
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner
Other · Vol $394.2K
- 100¢+23.9pp
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $454.8K
- 0¢-35.9pp
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $6.8K
- 100¢+40.9pp
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)
Other · Vol $177.2K
- 0¢-14.0pp
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
Other · Vol $1.3K
- 100¢+23.9pp
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
Other · Vol $50.00
- 0¢-10.9pp
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
Other · Vol $55.58
- 56¢-4.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $3.5M
- 2¢-0.4pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $1.4M
- 55¢-3.0pp
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.2M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.1M
- 0¢-35.4pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Other · Vol $1.0M
- 56¢-9.5pp
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $880.6K
Market Description
This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 2. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Dplus KIA and DN SOOPers each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 2. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay Baron Nashor during Game 2. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain Baron Nashor prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- https://gol.gg/esports/homeNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).