SportsExpires Apr 26, 2026

Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 1?

Probability

1h

-10.0pp

24h

-62.9pp

24h Vol

$121.49

Liquidity

$73.2K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 14:00Apr 25, 2026, 23:14
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  • 1

    Down 63pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; -10.0pp in the last hour.

  • 2

    Momentum signal firing

    Probability moved down 62.9pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

  • 3

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 3h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 4

    Expiry in 3h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

  • 5

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 3 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 02:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 2.8h

    HIGH
  • 23:14Signal

    Momentum down

    Probability moved down 62.9pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    HIGH
  • 23:14Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 3h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-62.0pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

Biggest hourly move: -50.0pp at 23:14 (to 0¢).

Show top 8 of 14 hourly moves
  • 23:14 · -50.0pp → 0¢
  • 22:00 · -40.0pp → 10¢
  • 19:00 · +14.5pp → 65¢
  • 08:00 · +29.0pp → 79¢
  • 06:00 · +13.5pp → 64¢
  • 05:00 · +13.5pp → 64¢
  • 02:00 · +14.5pp → 65¢
  • 1d ago · +13.0pp → 63¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming match between FlyQuest and Dignitas in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 25 at 4:00PM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 1. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 1 is 24 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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