SportsExpires Apr 28, 2026

Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?

Probability

10¢

1h

+9.4pp

24h

-40.1pp

24h Vol

$55.58

Liquidity

$272.96

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 24, 2026, 16:00Apr 28, 2026, 09:42
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 40pp over 24h

    Now 10¢; +9.4pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 2h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 03
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 19.9¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  • 04
    Resolution proximity

    Expiry in 2h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

  • 05
    UMA status

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 2 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 12:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 2.3h

    HIGH
  • 09:42Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 2h with open resolution ambiguity.

    HIGH

Price movement

-40.0pp over the last 24h, now 10¢.

Biggest hourly move: -40.0pp at 09:00 (to 10¢).

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Game 1 is an odd number. This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Game 1 is an even number. "Total combined kills" includes all champion kills recorded during the match by both BNK FearX Youth and Kiwoom DRX Challengers. Executions (deaths to non-champion sources such as turrets, minions, or neutral monsters where no enemy champion receives kill credit) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market. If no kills are recorded in Game 1, or if Game 1 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 28, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (19.9¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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