Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?
Probability
10¢
1h
-15.5pp
24h
-2.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$129.81
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 01Price move
Down 3pp over 24h
Now 10¢; -15.5pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 2h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 20.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 04Resolution proximity
Expiry in 2h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
- 05UMA status
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 2 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 12:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 1.5h
- 10:27SignalHIGH
Resolution risk
Expires in 2h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-2.5pp over the last 24h, now 10¢.
Biggest hourly move: -38.5pp at 1d ago (to 13¢).
Show top 8 of 14 hourly moves
- 09:00 · +38.0pp → 51¢
- 07:00 · +38.0pp → 51¢
- 19:00 · -38.0pp → 13¢
- 18:00 · -38.0pp → 13¢
- 16:00 · -38.0pp → 13¢
- 15:00 · -38.0pp → 13¢
- 14:00 · -38.0pp → 13¢
- 1d ago · -38.5pp → 13¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 2. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 2. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 28, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (20.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.