SportsExpires Apr 25, 2026

Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?

Probability

90¢

1h

-10.0pp

24h

+40.0pp

24h Vol

$50.00

Liquidity

$326.55

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 20:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:05
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  1. 1

    Up 40pp over 24h

    Now 90¢; -10.0pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 4h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 20.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 4h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

  5. 5

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 4 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 22:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 3.9h

    HIGH
  • 18:05Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 4h with open resolution ambiguity.

    HIGH

Price movement

+40.0pp over the last 24h, now 90¢.

Biggest hourly move: +50.0pp at 17:00 (to 100¢).

Show all 10 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 18:05 · +40.0pp → 90¢
  • 17:00 · +50.0pp → 100¢
  • 15:00 · -9.0pp → 41¢
  • 12:00 · -5.0pp → 45¢
  • 11:00 · -5.0pp → 45¢
  • 09:00 · -5.0pp → 45¢
  • 08:00 · -5.0pp → 45¢
  • 06:00 · -5.0pp → 45¢
  • 05:00 · -5.0pp → 45¢
  • 03:00 · -5.0pp → 45¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming match between LOS and RED Canids in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 25 at 12:00PM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 1. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 1 is 29 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensus
gol.gg
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (20.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

2 wallets