LoL: Supernova vs Blue Otter - Game 1 Winner
Probability
79¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
+7.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 8pp over 24h
Now 79¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 110h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 26.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 110.5h
- 12:31SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 110h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+7.5pp over the last 24h, now 79¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the LoL match between Supernova and Blue Otter in the North American Challengers League Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 1 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Supernova" if Supernova win Game 1 against Blue Otter. This market will resolve to "Blue Otter" if Blue Otter win Game 1 against Supernova. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (26.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.