Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
Probability
50¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+37.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 38pp over 24h
Now 50¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 3
Wide spread — 100.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 14:17SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 12:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 2h ago
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.5pp
to 13¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.5pp
to 13¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.5pp
to 13¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.5pp
to 13¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.5pp
to 13¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.5pp
to 13¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.5pp
to 13¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.5pp
to 13¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.5pp
to 13¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.5pp
to 13¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.5pp
to 13¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.5pp
to 13¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.5pp
to 13¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.5pp
to 13¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.5pp
to 13¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.0pp
to 13¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -37.5pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -36.0pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -36.0pp
to 16¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://gol.gg/esports/homeNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (100.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.